Prediction

It is 12:45 am in Hawaii - the first polls close in fifteen minutes. Time to put in my prediction. Here is what I think is the most likely scenario. I think Obama will win by 6% of the vote. (Barr and Nader will both pull in about 1% each.) I hope I am wrong. I hope Obama does even better.... Double digit popular vote. Wins Indiana (it is very close). Wins Montana (if Ron Paul gets a good percentage - very possible). Wins Georgia. Wins Arizona (not likely, but I can dream). If all those went Obama's way, he gets 406 electoral votes. Now, that would make me really happy.



But, I will settle for 270 electoral votes and 50.0001% popular vote.